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Forecast accuracy

Time Series

XGBoost to forecast univariate Time Series data with exogenous variables

In the last article, we learned how to train a Machine Learning model like Linear Regression or XGBoost to forecast Time Series data. We had to reframe the dataframe as a supervised learning problem. You can read about this process here. To explain the process we used Forex data, specifically Read more…

By David Andrés, 2 yearsSeptember 7, 2023 ago
Cheatsheets

Evaluation Metrics for Time Series Forecasting

Evaluation metrics, also known as performance measures or evaluative metrics, are quantitative measurements used to evaluate the performance and quality of a model or algorithm in solving a particular problem. It provides a standardized way to evaluate and compare different models and algorithms based on specific criteria. Error Metrics Error Read more…

By David Andrés, 2 yearsJuly 21, 2023 ago
Cheatsheets

Exponential Smoothing for Time Series Forecasting

A comprehensive Python cheat sheet on how to use Exponential Smoothing models for time series forecasting.

By David Andrés, 2 yearsMay 11, 2023 ago
Time Series

Time Series Forecasting with Facebook Prophet II

In the previous part of our Facebook Prophet series, we covered how to model the trend component and adjust the changepoints and regularization to improve forecasting accuracy. In this article, we’ll focus on the seasonal component and explore how to effectively model it using Facebook Prophet. The way Facebook Prophet Read more…

By David Andrés, 2 yearsMay 4, 2023 ago
Time Series

Clean your Time Series data IV: Data Smoothing

In the first three parts of this series, we emphasized the significance of cleaning time series data and provided various techniques for handling missing data, dealing with duplicate values, and removing anomalies or outliers. In this final instalment, we will delve into data smoothing, which is a critical step in Read more…

By David Andrés, 2 yearsApril 27, 2023 ago

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