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multivariate

Time Series

XGBoost to forecast univariate Time Series data with exogenous variables

In the last article, we learned how to train a Machine Learning model like Linear Regression or XGBoost to forecast Time Series data. We had to reframe the dataframe as a supervised learning problem. You can read about this process here. To explain the process we used Forex data, specifically Read more…

By David Andrés, 2 yearsSeptember 7, 2023 ago
Time Series

Step-by-Step Guide to Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with VAR Models

In a previous article, we introduced Vector Auto-Regression (VAR), a statistical model designed for multivariate time series analysis and forecasting. VAR provides a robust solution by effectively capturing dynamic relationships between multiple variables over time. In this article, we will train a VAR model step-by-step. We will use the dataset Read more…

By David Andrés, 2 yearsJune 29, 2023 ago
Time Series

Granger Causality in Time Series Forecasting

We talked about Vector Autorregression or VAR in a previous article. But, does it really make sense to use two different variables to get a forecast? The answer is no, not always at least. It will only be beneficial if there is some kind of relationship between them. Using unrelated Read more…

By David Andrés, 2 yearsJune 8, 2023 ago
Time Series

Theoretical Introduction to VAR Models for Time Series Forecasting

There are times when we need to forecast several variables at the same time. For these occasions, traditional methods such as ARIMA or Exponential Smoothing are not sufficient since they are univariate methods. Vector AutoRegression (VAR) is a statistical model for multivariate time series analysis and forecasting. It is used Read more…

By David Andrés, 2 yearsMay 19, 2023 ago

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